Saturday, October 31, 2009

LIC Housing Finance- Reversal after a spectacular run.

Weekly negative divergence should never be treated lightly. Even medium to long term investors can book out, atleast partially, and may re-enter at lower levels @ 38% or 50% retracements..depending on the overall market conditions.

On the daily chart, it may be nearing a temerory bottom. After a brief rally or a pause, it should resume its down trend.
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IT Index reverses after severe Negative divergence..

DEEPU: Thank you for drawing my attention to IT stocks- Next to fall..!
CNX IT Index - Daily:
Confirmed a sell. Write Call options; Buy PUT options; Sell the Futures and hold through the Nov. Series.

Wipro-Week: Sell signal after Negative divergence after a year of uptrend. SELL...

Wipro-Daily: Just broken a major trendline support after showing series of Negative divergences. SELL..SELL..

Though other IT stock charts are not shown here, SELL them anyway.
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Friday, October 30, 2009

HOLD Stocks for more gains..

The one success formula in the stock market is "Believe in what you see and act on it on time having faith in your own views".

If you have bought stocks yesterday at the mentioned levels, do not sell at the mentioned levels as positive world cues would fetch higher prices. So raise the selling price higher and use trailing SL to lock in the profits.
Tata Steel: 461-475++.........503--
Suzlon:..........69-70++...........75--
RCapital :... 720-735++.........795--
RCom :...... 185-195++.........204--
Essar Oil:... 130-132...........145--
Cairn :....... .262-265...........276--
Icici Bk :..... 770-780...........826--
Aban :........... 1285++...........1400--

Whenever market is above its 200DMA and you see a continuous 5 days of fall, you buy there, then you are likely to get very good short term gains. While Nifty trading above its 200DMA(3930) fell for 8 days with a small pause in one day in between had offered such an opportunity. And it may offer again too.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009

Jindal Steel & Power(Jindalstel)

Amit Vora asked for Jindal Steel & Power EW:

It has completed a 5 subwaves of the 3rd wave of the 3rd. Logically the prior "iv"th should offer buying support and that is a big range of 577-648. Booking out on bounces and then re-entering during dips below 625 towards 580 is an ideal scenario.
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A relief rally possible in a day or two.

A strategy is being developed for a possible relief rally that may develop in a day or two. It is highly possible that I am 2 days early with this strategy.
Those who are holding Shorts should trail it down till an exhaustion is seen in the prices in the short term.
On studying some individual stocks, a high risk short term long play in the following stocks for a very short period of 6-8 trading days is possible.
Tata Steel: 461-475++.........503--
Suzlon: ....69-70++...........75--
RCapital : 720-735++.........795--
RCom : 185-195++.........204--
Essar Oil: 130-132...........145--
Cairn : .262-265...........276--
Icici Bk : 770-780...........826--
Aban : 1285++...........1400--
Buying levels may come in either today or tomorrow. A tentative selling levels are mentioned in a more conservative way. Once the reversal is confirmed for the short term, the levels may move higher too.
I still maintain, CASH is King till a REAL medium term bottom develops on the price charts.
One stock that has been excessively sold off showing positive divergence in hour chart is "RCOM".
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Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Tata Steel for the coming weeks.

As the dollar start to rally up, commodities will take a beating.What better way to play that than with "Tata Steel".

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